Kurt Marti,
Yuri Ermoliev,
Marek Makowski,
Georg Pflug
e.a.
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
2006e druk, 2006
9783540352587
Coping with Uncertainty
Modeling and Policy Issues
Specificaties
Paperback, 330 blz.
|
Engels
Springer Berlin Heidelberg |
2006e druk, 2006
ISBN13: 9783540352587
Rubricering
Onderdeel van serie
Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
Levertijd ongeveer 9 werkdagen
Gratis verzonden
Samenvatting
Ongoing global changes pose fundamentally new scientific problems requiring new concepts and tools. A key issue concerns a vast variety of practically irreducible uncertainties, which challenge traditional models and require new concepts and analytical tools. Uncertainty can dominate, as in the climate change debates. Increasing the resolution of models does not always yield sufficient certainty. This book presents much-needed new tools for modeling and management of uncertainty.
Specificaties
ISBN13:9783540352587
Taal:Engels
Bindwijze:paperback
Aantal pagina's:330
Uitgever:Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Druk:2006
Hoofdrubriek:Economie, Algemeen management
Inhoudsopgave
Uncertainty and Decisions: Facets of Robust Decisions.- Stress Testing via Contamination.- Structured Modeling for Coping with Uncertainty in Complex Problems.- Modeling Stochastic Uncertainty: Using Monte Carlo Simulation to Treat Physical Uncertainties in Structural Reliability.- Explicit Methods for the Computation of Strucutral Reliabilities in Stochastic Plastic Analysis.- Statistical Analysis of Catastrophie Events.- Scene Interpretation Using Bayesian Network Fragments.- Non-probabilistic Uncertainty: General Equilibrium Models with Discrete Choices in a Spatial Continuum.- Sequential Downscaling Methods for Estimation from Aggregate Data.- Optimal Control for a Class of Uncertain Systems.- Uncertainties in Medical Processes Control.- Applications of Stochastic Optimization: Impacts of Uncertainty and Increasing Returns on Sustainable Energy Development and Climate Change. A Stochastic Optimization Appraoch.- Stochasticity in Electric Energy Systems Planning.- Stochastic Programming Based PERT Modeling.- Towards Implementable Nonlinear Stochastic Programming.- Policy Issues Under Uncertainty: Endogenous Risks and Learning.- Pricing Related Projects.- Precaution. The Willingness to Accept Costs to Avert Uncertain Danger
